NOAA Office of Satellite and Product Operations

SPECIAL MESSAGE:

On Tuesday, December 6 at approximately 11 a.m.EST (1500 UTC), a planned web system upgrade will be performed. This will result in a brief delay of data on the GOES, SPSD and OSPO web sites for up to two hours. Some data will take longer to recover. Please see the related message, which has additional details, and watch http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/SATS/messages.html for additional information.

USER MESSAGE:  

Effective 1200 UTC November 16, 2015, the NESDIS Satellite Analysis Branch (SAB) Satellite Precipitation Guidance Message Product (SPENES) will no longer be issued for the continental US (lower 48 states). SAB will continue satellite support to WPC and satellite-based information from SAB may be integrated by WPC's forecasters into their MPDs (Mesoscale Precipitation Discussions). This is intended to provide a single source of centralized guidance on heavy rainfall and flash flood threats and ensure consistent message delivery. More information about the MPD is available at: http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd.php

Satellite Precipitation Message

ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/05/14 1420Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1400Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU:1030Z
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LOCATION...INDIANA...ILLINOIS...MISSOURI...E IOWA...
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ATTN WFOS...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...SGF...EAX...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...JET, UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVES...DEEP MOISTURE CLASH WITH COLD/DRY AIR...ALL THE MAKINGS OF SIGNIFICANT SNOWS CENTERED ON CENTRAL MO THROUGH CENTRAL ILLINOIS INTO N HALF OF INDIANA...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BIG PICTURE STARTING TO DRIVE THE SMALLER SCALE AS WELL DEFINED SW TO NE ORIENTED MOISTURE PLUME OR CONCENTRATION OF HIGHEST MOISTURE WAS CENTERED FROM THE TX-MEXICO GULF OF MEXICO COAST TO THE TEXAS-LOUISIANA BORDER TO EASTERN ARKANSAS INTO WESTERN TN AND KENTUCKY. DRY/LOW PWAT AIR NOT TOO FAR AWAY AND SHIFTING SLOWLY EAST AND SE ACROSS IOWA AND NORTHERN/WESTERN MO. SO THAT IS THE FIRST CLASH THAT IS CREATING A SHARP INSTABILITY GRADIENT THAT CAN CERTAINLY HELP PRECIPITATION GENERATION AND IN THE COLD AIR SNOW PRODUCTION. WELL DEFINED JET FROM MANITOBA-ALBERTA BORDER SOUTH THROUGH WESTERN WYOMING AND COLORADO AND N/C NEW MEXICO WAS HOOKING UP WITH SUBTROPICAL JET ACROSS S NEW MEXICO...NORTHERN TEXAS AND ACROSS C ARKANSAS INTO WESTERN KY AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. MAIN UPPER LEVEL FORCING FEATURE THAT CAME OUT OF COLORADO LATER YESTERDAY AND NOW MOVING ACROSS C KANSAS HAD VARIOUS SUBTLE SHORT WAVE IMPULSES OUT AHEAD ACROSS MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS THAT WAS HELPING TO INTERACT WITH JET TO THE SOUTH AND SLIGHT DIFFLUENCE CENTERED ON MISSOURI AND DEEP MOISTURE E TX TO MISSOURI TO PRODUCE STEADY LIGHT TO MODERATE/OCCLY HVY RAIN SOUTH..IE MOST OF ARKANSAS AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SE MISSOURI AND LIGHT TO MODERATE/OCCLY HVY SNOW NORTH...IE MOSTLY CENTRAL MISSOURI...C ILLINOIS INTO C INDIANA. WITH CORE OF HEAVIEST SNOW FOLLOWING CLOSE TO THE PATH OF THE 850MB LOW NEAR S CENTRAL/C MISSOURI INTO C ILLINOIS. NESDIS SNOWFALL PRODUCT EARLIER WERE GIVING MAX SNOW-WATER EQUIVALENT (SWE) RATES OF 0.04"/HR CENTERED ON NE AND S CENTRAL MISSOURI EARLIER THIS MORNING AROUND 1030Z AND IR TRENDS WOULD SUGGEST A SLIGHT INCR IN SWE SINCE THAT TIME WHICH COULD TRANSLATE INTO GENERAL 0.5"-1.0"/HR SNOW RATES AND OCCL 1.5"/HR RECENTLY CENTERED E CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INDIANA WITH INCREASED INTERACTION OF FORCING AND COLD/DRY VS MILD/MOIST CLASH.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1415-1800Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...BAROCLINIC SATELLITE WINTER STORM SIGNATURE LOOKING BETTER PAST FEW HRS AND USUALLY HIGHEST PRECIP FALLS ON SOUTHERN EDGE OF ENHANCED COOLER CLOUD TOPS WITH HEAVIEST SNOW FALLING ALONG PATH OF 850MB LOW AND CLOSE TO THE -5C 850MB TEMP AND THAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE E CENTRAL MO THROUGH CENTRAL WORKING INTO INTERIOR NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND INDIANA WITH SNOW RATES UP TO 1"/HR WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER RATES OF 1.5"-2.0"/HR CENTERED NEAR STL LOUIS...C ILLINOIS (SOUTH OF CHICAGO) INTO C INDIANA CLOSE TO OR JUST NORTH OF INDIANAPOLIS. FOR REFERENCE. IMPRESSED WITH ANOMALOUS NATURE OF HIGH MOISTURE COMING IN FROM E TX/LA AND ARKANSAS AND CLASHING WITH LOW TO MODERATE MOISTURE ILLINOIS AND UPPER MIDWEST, SO THAT THERE COULD BE SNOW RATES OCCLY INCREASING TO MORE THAN 2"/HR AS THIS PERIOD GOES ON IN SNOW AREA OUTLINED JUST ABOVE.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4198 8905 4011 8600 3716 9194 3981 9263
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NNNN
Graphic Depicting Features in SPE Message