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ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES HIZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/05/18 0304Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-15 EIR-WV 0230Z/ASMU/MIMIC-TPW - BAK . LOCATION...OAHU . ATTN WFOS...HFO... ATTN RFCS...APRFC... . EVENT...HVY RA FM SLOWING COLD FRONT . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...GOES-15 WV SHOWS MID/UPR LVL LOW WELL N OF THE ISLAND CHAIN MOVING NWD. ITS ASSOC COLD FRONT WITH LN OF HVY SHRA/TSRA MAKING STDY PROGRESSION EWD TOWARDS OAHU SHUD SLO IN THE NEXT 6 HRS. 00Z MODEL ANALYSES HAVE REGION IN FAVORABLE AREA FOR UPWD VV BTWN H25 JET MAXES TO THE NNE AND WNW. IN ADDITION, EIR INDICATES MID LVL S/W TROF JUST NW OF PHHF WHICH SHUD INDUCE GRADUAL H5 HGT FALLS AND SHARPENING CYCLONIC FLOW OVER REGION DURG PD. PLUME OF PWATS UP TO 2" AS SHOWN BY AMSU/MIMIC TPW NARROWING AND BCMG MORE DEFINED BTWN KAUAI AND OAHU. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 03-09Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...WITH EXPANDING AREA OF MCS COLD CLOUD TOPS CURRENTLY BTWN KAUAI AND OAHU AND SUBSEQUENT RE-DVLPMNT TO SW, THERE IS A RISK OF HVY RA/FLASH FLOODING OVR OAHU. SOME TRAINING OF ECHOES IS PSBL AS COLD FRONT SLOWS. SCT HVY SHRA DVLPNG MOVG NWD S OF OAHU MAY LOCALLY PRIME SOME AREAS FOR FLOODING RISK BEFORE MAIN SQLN MOVS IN. . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP).... ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 2237 16019 2231 15397 1876 15474 1880 16106 2236 16020 . NNNN |
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