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ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES HIZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/14/18 0911Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-15 LEE . LOCATION...HAWAII... . ATTN WFOS...HFO... ATTN RFCS...APRFC... . EVENT...HEAVY RAINFALL . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...STRONG LL CONVERGENT SRLY FLOW AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING FRONT HAS ALLOWED TRAINING CONVECTION TO DEVELOP NEAR AND OVER OAHU THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH BLENDED TPW SHOWING ACCESS TO DECENT MOISTURE (PLUME AOA 1.5")... AMSU RR HAVE BEEN LACKLUSTER DUE TO LACK OF DEEP CONVECTION IN THE ABSENCE OF INSTABILITY. IN FACT RECENT IR IMAGERY SIGNALING THE WARMING OF CLOUD TOPS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HRS. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0900-1800Z...LOW-MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...EXPECT THAT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND TRAIN OVER OAHU EARLY THIS MORNING AND PERHAPS WILL AFFECT MOLOKA'I LANAI AND MAUI LATER IN THE PERIOD AS THE FRONT TRUDGES SE. NOT EXPECTING WIDESPREAD FLOODING BUT BELIEVE THAT AREAS WHERE REPEAT CONVECTION COINCIDES WITH FAVORABLE UPSLOPE LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES COULD BE REALIZED. . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP).... ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 2214 15732 2169 15608 2056 15580 2000 15715 2072 15846 2175 15896 . NNNN |
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