ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES HIZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/19/18 0214Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-15 EIR-WV 0145Z/AMSU-RA 0050Z/ MIMIC-TPW 01Z; BAK . LOCATION...HAWAII... . ATTN WFOS...HFO... ATTN RFCS...APRFC... . EVENT...UPPER LEVEL TROF . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...GOES-15 6.5 WV LOOP SHOWS STG S/W TROF JUST SW OF THE WRN PART OF ISL CHAIN SLOLY MOVG NE. THIS S/W IS ROTATING AROUND A MUCH LARGER DEEP LAYER, VRY SHARP MERIDIONAL TROF NNW OF THE REGION. SUSTAINED MCS WITH EXTENSIVE AREA OF LTGCG/COLD CLD TPS NOW S OF OAHU/MOLOKAI MOVG NWD. AMSU-RA PRODUCT INDICATING RFALL RATES AS HIGH 1.25"/HR ASSOC WITH THIS MCS. 00Z PHLI RAOB VRY UNSTABLE WITH SFC BASED LI -8 AND CAPE OF 2029 J/KG. IN ADDITION, CLOSE TO SATURATED CONDS SFC TO H7 AND K-INDEX OF 36. SLOLY RETREATING AXIS OF HIGH PWATS UP TO 1.75" NOW OVR OAHU SHOWN BY MIMIC-TPW LOOP. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0210-0810Z...HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...WITH PLUME OF PWATS 2-3 STD ABV SW OF REGION PER GFS ANALYSIS AND NRLY STNRY UPR LVL TROF, HIGH THREAT OF CONSIDERABLE FLASH FLOODING TO CONT DURING PD ESP CNTRL ISLANDS. GREATEST RISK APPEARS TO BE OVR NRN OAHU WHERE 3-6" OF RA HAS FALLEN IN THE LAST 6 HRS. LATEST RADAR LOOP INDICATES ORGANIZING WNW TO ESE SQLN AIMED AT CNTRL ISLANDS WHICH SHUD ENHANCE HRLY RFALL RATES. . KONON . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP).... ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 2214 15732 2169 15608 2056 15580 2000 15715 2072 15846 2175 15896 . NNNN |
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