NOAA Office of Satellite and Product Operations

SPECIAL MESSAGE:

This NOAA site will no longer provide GOES-East imagery. For access to high resolution GOES-East imagery from GOES-16, please go to the site: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/index.php. We apologize for the inconvenience and appreciate your patience.

USER MESSAGE:  

Effective 1200 UTC November 16, 2015, the NESDIS Satellite Analysis Branch (SAB) Satellite Precipitation Guidance Message Product (SPENES) will no longer be issued for the continental US (lower 48 states). SAB will continue satellite support to WPC and satellite-based information from SAB may be integrated by WPC's forecasters into their MPDs (Mesoscale Precipitation Discussions). This is intended to provide a single source of centralized guidance on heavy rainfall and flash flood threats and ensure consistent message delivery. More information about the MPD is available at: http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd.php

Satellite Precipitation Message

ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
NYZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-
ALZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 12/22/13 1038Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1015Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...W AND C NEW YORK...W AND C PENNSYLVANIA...SW VIRGINIA..EXT
W .NORTH CAROLINA...
LOCATION...WEST VIRGINIA...C AND E OHIO...N GEORGIA...C AND E TENNESSEE...
LOCATION...C AND E KENTUCKY...ALABAMA...
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ATTN WFOS...BGM...BUF...CTP...RNK...PBZ...RLX...CLE...GSP...MRX...
ATTN WFOS...JKL...FFC...ILN...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...
ATTN RFCS...NERFC...MARFC...SERFC...OHRFC...LMRFC...
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EVENT...STILL A LITTLE BIT OF PACIFIC MID LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION...BUT MOSTLY CONTINUED GULF OF MEXICO EXTRAORDINARILY HIGH PWAT MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM GULF TO NY STATE AND MODERATE TO LOCALLY HVY RAINS AS FRONTAL AREA SHIFTS SLOWLY EAST..
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...FEATURES DESCRIBED IN PREVIOUS MESSAGE HAVE GENERALLY SHIFTED SLOWLY EAST AND SO HAS MAIN PRECIPITATION BAND WITH FRONTAL SYSTEM...A LITTLE FASTER ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO APPALACHIANS THAN FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS TN TO MS/AL. STILL A LITTLE BIT OF PACIFIC MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM IN THE MID-LEVELS ACROSS S MEXICO ...THE WESTERN TO N CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO AND MEET UP WITH BETTER IDENTIFIED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND ADVECTION THAT EXTENDS FROM SE LA/S MS NORTHEAST TO NY STATE AND N NEW ENGLAND. GPS SITES IDENTIFYING THE HIGHEST MOISTURE BETWEEN 1.8" AND 2.0" CENTERED FROM SE LA THRU MS INTO WESTERN ALABAMA AND THIS NEARLY 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE CLIMO AND EVEN 4 STANDARD DEVIATIONS FURTHER NORTHEAST INTO TN AND KY. IMPORTANT ASPECT IS THAT FRONTAL PRECIPITATION...MODERATE TO LOCALLY HVY CENTERED FROM ALABAMA TO OHIO INTO WESTERN PA AND W NY IS MOVING SLOWLY EAST...WHICH HAS CUT DOWN ON THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. BUT STILL THERE ARE THE SHORT WAVES BOTH ALONG THE JET IN THE MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL LIFTING NORTH/NE THROUGH MS AND INDIANA INTO LOWER MI AND THE EMBEDDED LOW LEVEL SHORT WAVES IN THE COLDER CLOUD TOPS WITH THE MODERATE TO HVY RAIN OF THE FRONTAL BAND THAT ARE WRINGING OUT THE MOISTURE THE BEST IT CAN IN THE WAY OF UP TO 1.3" PER 3HRS AND 2-2.5" PER 6HRS.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1030-1500Z...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...TO THE WEST...UPPER LEVEL LOW PUSHING EAST AND NE INTO MISSOURI PAST FEW HRS AND ASSOCIATED WITH SNOW SHIFTING NORTHEAST AS WELL...THIS GIVING THE JET AND FRONTAL BAND A PUSH EAST AS WELL...SO HOPEFULLY THAT WILL CARRY HEAVIEST RAIN EAST AS WELL. BY 16Z EXPECT HIGHEST RAIN RATES TO BE FROM WESTERN/C NY TO W AND C PA/SE OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA THRU SW VA AND EASTERN KY...E TN/WESTERN NC SOUTH THROUGH N GA INTO CENTRAL/E ALABAMA WITH 3HR RAIN AMOUNTS IN THE 12-16Z TIME PERIOD MAXING OUT AT 1-1.5 INCHES ALABAMA TO N GA TO E TN/FAR WESTERN NC INTO FAR EASTERN KY/WEST VA/SW VA.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4371 7614 3592 8269 3248 8658 4014 8313 4352 8142

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Graphic Depicting Features in SPE Message