|
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES HIZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/19/18 0003Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-15 EIR-WV / MIMIC-TPW2; BAK . LOCATION...HAWAII... . ATTN WFOS...HFO... ATTN RFCS...APRFC... . EVENT...HEAVY RAIN . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST GOES-15 EIR LOOP SHOWS INTENSE CONVECTION BACKBUILDING SW IN THE PHTO AREA WITH NUMEROUS LTG STRIKES AND EXPANDING COLD CLOUD TOPS IN THE LAST HR. THIS IS AT THE TAIL END OF A NEARLY STATIONARY TROF EXTENDING SW OF A SMALL UPPER-LEVEL LOW SHOWN WELL ON THE WV CHANNEL LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES NNE OF THE BIG ISLAND. 3 HR RAINFALL TOTALS HAVE RANGED FROM 1.50-3.00" WITH THIS CONVECTION. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0045-0445Z...MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...WITH THE TROF FOCUSING THE HEAVY RAINFALL MOVING LITTLE AND POSSIBLE ANCHORING OF CONVECTION ALONG THE NE SLOPES OF THE MOUNTAINS EXPECT HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW HRS. WESTWARD MOVING AREA OF HIGH PWATS ABOVE 2" PER LATEST MIMIC-TPW2 LOOP MOVING INTO THE AREA CURRENTLY SHOULD INCREASE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING RAINFALL RATES. 18Z GFS FORECAST INDICATES PWAT VALUES 3-4 STD ABOVE NORMAL VALID 19/00Z. . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP).... ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 2083 15490 1984 15409 1984 15409 1843 15415 1897 15656 2033 15617 . NNNN |
No Graphics Available
|