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ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES PRZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/11/21 1617Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: GOES 16 1600Z, PR-JUA RADAR 1609Z, HRW_PR_ARW 06Z, GFS 06Z, 12Z TJSJ RAOB SOUNDING; MLEVINE . LOCATION...PUERTO RICO... . ATTN WFOS...SJU... ATTN RFCS... . EVENT...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF PUERTO RICO . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST GOES-16 IMAGERY SHOWS WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE AND EASTERLY TRADE WINDS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION. PWATS OVER THE ISLAND HOVER AROUND 2" WITH MUCH OF THIS M0ISTURE BEING UTILIZED IN THE FORM OF TRAINING SHOWERS AND STORMS PARTICULARLY OVER THE N CENTRAL REGION. THE LATEST RAOB SOUNDING HAS CAPE VALUES OF > 2000 J/KG WITH DECENT DIRECTIONAL SHEAR SUGGESTING THAT STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND ORGANIZED THROUGHOUT THE DAY. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1630-0600Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS PEAK HEATING APPROACHES. COVERAGE SHOULD WIND DOWN ALONG WITH DIURNAL HEATING IN THE EVENING AS THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVES OFF TO THE WEST AND A DRIER AIR MASS TAKES ITS PLACE. URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON OVER MUCH OF THE ISLAND ESPECIALLY WHERE AND STRONG OR TRAINING BANDS SET UP. . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP).... ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 1880 6570 1862 6527 1838 6514 1803 6520 1776 6574 1757 6688 1779 6746 1807 6764 1835 6763 1858 6730 1872 6662 . NNNN |
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