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ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES VIZ000-PRZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/11/21 1826Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-16 1800Z . LOCATION...PUERTO RICO... . ATTN WFOS...SJU... ATTN RFCS... . EVENT...MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...THE MOST RECENT GOES 16 WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT MOISTURE OVER PR ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL FEATURE. THIS ABUNDANT MOISTURE MIXED WITH ENHANCED CAPE AND PW VALUES GREATER THAN 1.50" COULD LEAD TO MODERATE OR HEAVY PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA. CURRENT VIS IMAGERY SHOWS MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ISLAND BECOMING MORE ABUNDANT AS THE MOISTURE INCREASES IN THE AREA. CURRENT RADAR FM PR CONFIRMS MODERATE-HEAVY PRECIPITATION IS FALLING IN PORTIONS OF PR WITH HEAVIER PRECIPITATION FALLING ON THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1830-0000Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...CONVECTION AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN DENSITY THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON UNTIL EVENING COOLING INHIBITS CONVECTIVE GROWTH. SATURATED AREAS FM YESTERDAYS PRECIPITATION EVENTS COULD EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL AS URBAN AND SMALL STREAMS. CURRENT CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE LONG LIVED WHICH COULD CAUSE LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS FOR AREAS CAUGHT UNDER LONG LIVED AND TRAINING CONVECTION. . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP).... ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 1888 6517 1830 6483 1771 6517 1760 6634 1762 6725 1815 6753 1862 6727 1884 6617 . NNNN |
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