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ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES HIZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/05/18 0847Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-15 EIR-WV 08Z/MIMIC-TPW 04Z = BAK . LOCATION...CENTRAL SECTION OF ISLAND CHAIN . ATTN WFOS...HFO... ATTN RFCS...APRFC... . EVENT...HVY RAIN . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...GOES-15 6.5 WV LOOP SHOWS APRNT MINOR IMPULSE THAT MOVD OVR KAUAI LAST FEW HRS, NOW N OF THE AREA. ALTHOUGH LN OF HVY SHRA/ISO EMBEDDED TSRA HAS MOSTLY CLRD OAHU, WV IMAGERY SHOWS DISTINCT SLOWING OF MOIST BOUNDARY TO SW AND SOME BAKBLDG OF MID-LVL MOISTURE. RADAR CONFIRMS ADDTNL DVLPMNT OF HVY SHRA IN THIS AREA. MEANWHILE, HVY SHRA LN HAS SLOWED SOMEWHAT AS IT APPROACHES MOLOKAI/LANAI/MAUI. LATEST MIMIC-TPW LOOP SHOWED POOLING OF HIGH 2" PWATS TO THE W BTWN KAUAI AND OAHU. 00Z GFS ANALYSIS INDICATES STD ANOM OF PW 2-3 ABV AVG IN NE TO SW BAND THIS SAME AREA. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0845Z-1445Z...MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...GIVEN HIGH PWATS ALONG SFC FRONT STILL TO W AND REDVLPMNT OF ACTIVITY, XPCT SOME RISK OF HVY SHRA/LOCAL FLASH FLOODING ON OAHU TO CONT NEXT SVRL HRS. COOLING CLD TOPS ON GOES EIR ASSOC WITH SMALL MCS JUST W/SW OF MOLOKAI/LANAI SHUD RESULT IN ENHANCED RFALL RATES IN THIS AREA NEXT 1-3 HRS WITH INCRD RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP).... ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 2237 16019 2231 15397 1876 15474 1880 16106 2236 16020 . NNNN |
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