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ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES PRZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 11/08/18 1032Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: GOES 16 IR 1030Z; BLENDED TPW; FCS . LOCATION...PUERTO RICO... . ATTN WFOS...SJU... ATTN RFCS... . EVENT...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER THE USVI AND PUERTO RICO HAS BEEN SEEN ON THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS WITH SURFACE OBSERVATION AT SAN JUAN INDICATING A THUNDERSTORM AT THE STATION AS OF 10Z WITH RA+ OVER THE USVI. TROPICAL UPPER CIRCULATION TO THE NORTH OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 25N/65W WITH A TRAILING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SITUATED WEST OF PUERTO RICO FEEDS MID LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER THE USVI AND NORTHEAST CORNER OF PUERTO RICO. BLENDED TPW MOISTURE QUANTITIES DERIVED BY SATELLITE ESTIMATES ARE NEAR 2.0 INCHES. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1030-1400...LOW CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...SOME RECENT TRENDS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANIED WITH HEAVY RAINFALL OVER NORTHEAST PUERTO RICO WITH BETTER RAINFALL RATES OVER THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS. THERE IS SOME FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS. . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP).... ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 1853 6719 1853 6718 1851 6514 1788 6535 1789 6753 . NNNN |
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