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ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES HIZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/02/19 0112Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: 190802/0030 GOES17 CH09 WV_6.9 . LOCATION...HAWAII... . ATTN WFOS...HFO... ATTN RFCS...AKRFC... . EVENT...HEAVY RAINFALL RISK FROM HURRICANE ERICK . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...THE LATEST GOES17 IR IMAGERY OBSERVED HURRICANE ERICK A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE WITH NHC ADVISORY FROM 11 AM HST WITH MAX SUSTAINED WINDS OF 80 MPH JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND WITH COOLER/HIGHER CLOUD TOPS APPEARING TO WEAKEN AS THE STORM PROGRESSES INTO COOLER PACIFIC WATERS. THE LATEST RADAR LOOPS ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND HOWEVER OBSERVED THE OUTER BANDS OF ERICK APPROACHING THE BIG ISLAND WITH HEAVY EMBEDDED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE LATEST UA SOUNDING FROM PHTO OBSERVED FAIRLY HIGH TPW OF 2.0" ALONG WITH FAIRLY EASTERLY UNI DIRECTIONAL FLOW IN THE LOWER LEVELS FROM THE SURFACE TO ALOFT AROUND 500 MB. TPW AROUND THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERICK OBSERVED 2.5" IN A SMALL REGION OF GROWING COOLER/HIGHER CLOUD TOPS OBSERVED IN LATEST VISIBLE AND IR GOES17 IMAGERY. . AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0100-0700Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...THE SYSTEM ALTHOUGH IT IS APPEARING TO WEAKEN WITH LATEST GOES17 SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SLOWLY PROGRESSING WNW WHICH COULD INCREASE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT ESPECIALLY ACROSS MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OVER THE BIG ISLAND. THE BIG ISLAND IS CURRENTLY UNDER A FLASH FLOOD WATCH DUE TO IN PART WITH HEAVY RAINFALL RATES IN OUTER BANDS OF HURRICANE ERICK. THE HEAVY RAINFALL RISK IS LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH MOST FRIDAY OVER THE BIG ISLAND UNTIL HURRICANE ERICK PROGRESSES WNW AWAY FROM THE REGION. . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP).... ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 2499 16218 2319 14930 1452 14813 1404 16216 . NNNN |
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