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ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES HIZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/03/19 0045Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: 190803/0020Z GOES17 CH14 IR_11.2 . LOCATION...HAWAII... . ATTN WFOS...HFO... ATTN RFCS...AKRFC... . EVENT...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MAUI ISLAND FROM OUTER BAND OF TS ERICK . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...THE LATEST GOES17 IR IMAGERY OBSERVED GROWING COLD/HIGH CLOUD TOPS IN ASSOCIATION IN MOIST OUTFLOW WITH AN OUTER BAND FROM TS ERICK OVER MAUI ISLAND. THE LATEST RADAR LOOPS OBSERVED A NARROW BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MAUI ISLAND WITH GENERAL CONVECTIVE CELL MOTION PROGRESSING FROM THE SW OFF TO THE NE OF THE REGION. THE LATEST UA RAOB DATA FROM PHTO OVER THE BIG ISLAND JUST SOUTH OF THE REGION OBSERVED A FAIRLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH SBCAPE GREATER THAN 2000 J/KG AND TPW GREATER THAN 1.90" WITH LIGHT WINDS AS WELL OBSERVED IN THE LOWER LEVELS WHICH IS LIKELY LEADING TO SLOWER CONVECTIVE CELL PROGRESSION. . AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0030-0330Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...THE LATEST GOES17 VIS IMAGERY OBSERVED THE CENTER OF TS ERICK WEST OF THE BIG ISLAND WITH A MOIST OUTER BAND IMPACTING MAUI ISLAND. THE HEAVY RAINFALL RISK OVER MAUI ISLAND WILL LIKELY PERSIST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS UNTIL THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED MOIST OUTFLOW FROM TS ERICK PROGRESSES WEST OF THE REGION LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP).... ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 2353 15222 1627 15196 1627 16223 2343 16195 . NNNN |
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