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ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES PRZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/29/19 0238Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: G-16; LEE . LOCATION...PUERTO RICO... . ATTN WFOS...SJU... ATTN RFCS... . EVENT...HURRICANE DORIAN . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...G-16 IR AND WV IMAGERY SHOWS THAT HURRICANE DORIAN HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED/CONSOLIDATED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS RENDERING MUCH OF PR IN THE "MOAT". NEVERTHELESS...A CONFLUENT TAIL HAS DEVELOPED ON THE SRN QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM AND WILL TRAVERSE VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND E PORTIONS OF THE MAIN ISLAND OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HRS. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0300-0900Z...MED CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...GIVEN NATURE OF TROPICAL SYSTEMS...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF 2" P/HR WITH ISOLATED 3-4" P/HR RATES NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF THE QUESTION WITHIN THE CORRIDOR OF CONFLUENCE ALONG THE SRN QUADRANT OF DORIAN. REGIONS OF FAVORABLE OROGRAPHICS MAY FURTHER ENHANCE THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT. DEGREE OF RISK HINGES UPON SPEED OF WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF PRECIP AREA AND WHETHER DORIAN STRENGTHENS FURTHER...EFFECTIVELY CUTTING OFF THIS INFLOW FEATURE. . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP).... ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 1890 6531 1835 6525 1784 6542 1753 6577 1764 6613 1815 6614 1883 6591 . NNNN |
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