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ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES HIZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/03/20 0220Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: 200303/0150 . LOCATION...HAWAII... . ATTN WFOS...HFO... ATTN RFCS...AKRFC... . EVENT...HEAVY RAINFALL FROM UPPER LEVEL LOW IN THE REGION OF MAUI ISLAND . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...THE LATEST GOES17 IR IMAGERY OBSERVED A REGION OF COLD/HIGH CLOUD TOPS TO THE NORTHEAST OF MAUI ISLAND IN THE MIDDLE PART OF THE STATE. RADAR TRENDS OBSERVED ISOLATED HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF MAUI ISLAND. THE LATEST UA RAOB SOUNDING DATA OBSERVED INCREASING TPW OVER 1.00" AND FAIRLY HIGH SBCAPE GREATER THEN 2400 J/KG SUPPORTING STRONG LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE REGION. . AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0230-0830Z...LOW CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...STRONG LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT IS LIKELY TO PERSIST OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD WHICH WILL HELP TO ENHANCE AND PROMOTE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY BUT LOW CONFIDENCE IN EXACT PLACEMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ISLAND. HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED FLOOD THREAT LOOKS LOW BUT POSSIBLE OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP).... ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 2314 15371 1833 15359 1791 16162 2277 16144 . NNNN |
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