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ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES VIZ000-PRZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/12/21 1839Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: 1830Z GOES-16 . LOCATION...PUERTO RICO... . ATTN WFOS...SJU... ATTN RFCS... . EVENT...MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...RECENT GOES-16 WV IMAGERY SHOWS AN ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL FEATURE TO THE NW OF PR. IMAGERY SHOWS MOISTURE BUILDING OVER MOST THE ISLAND AS OF 1830Z WITH THE MOST BEING IN THE NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTH EAST PORTION OF PR. G16 VIS DATA SHOWS THUNDER STORMS BURSTING OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN PR WITH RADAR CONFIRMING MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION FM THESE CELLS. THE 12Z SOUNDING FM PR SHOWS PWAT VALUES WELL OVER 2" INDICATING THE POSSIBILITY FOR INCREASED PRECIPITATION TOTALS FM TODAY'S EVENTS AS WELL AS CAPE ABOVE 2000 J/KG LEADING TO INCREASED CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1830-0000Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...CURRENT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY CONTINUE AND SPREAD OVER MOST OF PR THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING UNTIL DAY TIME HEATING COMES TO AN END. INCREASED WATER VAPOR CONTENT LIKELY TO STICK AROUND UNTIL THE SYSTEM TO THE NW MOVES AWAY FM PR. ALREADY WET GROUNDS WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE FOR FLOODING FOR MOST OF PR. URBAN AND SMALL STREAMS ARE ALSO AT RISK OF FLOODING DUE TO MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION FROM TODAY’S STORMS. . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP).... ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 1888 6517 1830 6483 1771 6517 1760 6634 1762 6725 1815 6753 1862 6727 1884 6617 . NNNN |
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